Earlier recreational sales linked to more AF, heart failure and MI admissions

Cannabis legalisation and cardiovascular hospitalisations in the United States: nationwide difference-in-differences analysis, 2012-2018.

BMJ open • • Highly Relevant
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AI Summary

This nationwide difference-in-differences study asked whether legal recreational cannabis sales were associated with cardiovascular hospitalisations. It compared US regions where sales began earlier with regions where they began later, using hospitalisation data from 2012–2018. The exposure was legalisation, not individual patients’ cannabis use.

After adjustment, each year of legalisation was associated with higher hospitalisation rates for atrial fibrillation/flutter (ΔIRR 1.023), heart failure (ΔIRR 1.037) and myocardial infarction (ΔIRR 1.031). The study did not find statistically significant associations for ischaemic stroke, venous thromboembolism or ventricular tachycardia; its negative-control diagnoses also showed no statistically significant change. These are associations, not proof that legalisation caused the increases. Because this is an abstract-based summary of an observational regional analysis, it cannot establish effects of cannabis use on an individual’s cardiovascular risk or rule out other explanations.

💡 Key Findings

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Each year of legalisation was associated with higher hospitalisation rates for atrial fibrillation/flutter (ΔIRR 1.023).
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80%
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Legalisation was associated with higher hospitalisation rates for heart failure (ΔIRR 1.037) and myocardial infarction (ΔIRR 1.031).
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80%
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No statistically significant associations were reported for ischaemic stroke, venous thromboembolism or ventricular tachycardia; the negative-control diagnoses also showed no statistically significant changes.
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80%
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The regional observational analysis identifies associations, but cannot establish that legalisation caused the cardiovascular hospitalisation changes or determine individual cannabis users’ risk.
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95%

📄 Original Abstract

ABSTRACT: To determine the association between legal recreational cannabis sales (hereafter ‘legalisation’) and cardiovascular hospitalisations. This study leverages a natural experiment wherein legalisation began earlier in the Western census region of the United States (January 2014) versus non-Western regions (November 2018). DESIGN: Using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS), we performed a difference-in-differences analysis of the association between legalisation and hospitalisation rates for six cardiovascular diagnoses, a positive control (cannabis-related diagnoses) and two negative control diagnoses (opioid-related and urinary stones). SETTING: US states before (2012–2013) and after (2014–2018) legalisation in the Western region PARTICIPANTS: Hospitalised individuals in the Western region had a median age of 51 years, 57% were female and 43% were non-white. In other regions, the median age was 55 years, 57% were female and 33% were non-white. EXPOSURE: Legal recreational cannabis sales. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASUREMENTS: Annual hospitalisations per capita for atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF), heart failure (HF), myocardial infarction (MI), ischaemic stroke, venous thromboembolism (VTE) and ventricular tachycardia (VT). RESULTS: In this fully adjusted analysis, each year of legalisation was associated with the following relative change in hospitalisation rates expressed as change in the incidence rate ratio (∆IRR): cannabis-related diagnoses (∆IRR 1.138, 95% CI 1.066 to 1.214, p<0.001), AF (∆IRR 1.023, 95% CI 1.010 to 1.035, p<0.001), HF (∆IRR 1.037, 95% CI 1.029 to 1.046, p<0.001), MI (∆IRR 1.031, 95% CI 1.014 to 1.048, p<0.001), ischaemic stroke (∆IRR 1.011, 95% CI 0.999 to 1.024, p=0.078), VTE (∆IRR 1.009, 95% CI 0.999 to 1.020, p=0.066) and VT (∆IRR 1.019, 95% CI 0.993 to 1.046, p=0.161). For falsification testing, there was no change in hospitalisations for urinary stones (∆IRR 1.006, 95% CI 0.986 to 1.027, p=0.535) or opioid-related diagnoses (∆IRR 0.966, 95% CI 0.927 to 1.006, p=0.091). CONCLUSIONS: Legalisation was associated with increased hospitalisations for AF, HF and MI. Global legalisation trends may result in epidemiologically and economically important increases in cardiovascular healthcare use.

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